MONOPOLY LIVE STATS

Let’s take a look at the Monopoly Live game statistics. You will find out which segments of the wheel of fortune are the most profitable and how often they win. Then we will look at the fairness of the Monopoly Live game based on actual long-term statistics. Finally, we’ll discuss whether the history of previous rounds can predict the results of future rounds.

For those who don’t want to read, here are the main stats:

📊 Average RTP	94%
📈 Max RTP	96,23% for sector 2
📉 Min RTP	91,30% for sector 5
😍 Max payout	x10.000 or $500,000
😱 Biggest win	x9.600 (28.04.2020)
👼 The most profitable sector	2
😈 The most losing sector	5
🎲 4 ROLLS win rate (average)	1 time per 54 rounds
🎲 2 ROLLS win rate (average)	1 time per 18 rounds
🎱 CHANCE win rate (average)	1 time per 27 rounds

THE MOST WINNING SEGMENTS IN MONOPOLY LIVE

Evolution Gaming has revealed the RTP statistics for the Monopoly Live show in the help section. RTP is the Return To Player percentage, or how much money you get back on average from each bet. If the RTP is 97% and you play with a stake of $1, you will receive an average of 97 cents back. Three cents is the online casino’s profit.

The most profitable segment of the Monopoly Live wheel is number 2, and the most losing one is number 5. In our separate article, we discussed the best strategies for playing Monopoly Live. One of these tactics is based on RTP. We recommend reading it to get the most out of your online casino deposit.

The “CHANCE” card has a strong influence on the game statistics. If there was a blank space instead of “CHANCE”, the RTP of all other segments would be much lower. For example, the RTP for number 1 would be 81.48% instead of 92.88%.

STATS FOR EACH WHEEL SEGMENT

Let’s calculate the probabilities of landing for each sector of the Monopoly Live wheel. To do this, we divide the number of segments with each multiplier by the total number of segments. In total, there are 54 sectors on the gambling wheel. This is what we get:

• Number 1: 22/54 = 40.74%
• Number 2: 15/54 = 27.78%
• Number 5: 7/54 = 12.96%
• Number 10: 4/54 = 7.41%
• “CHANCE” : 2/54 = 3.70%
• “2 ROLLS” : 3/54 = 5.55%
• “4 ROLLS” : 1/54 = 1.86%

If the Monopoly Live wheel is not rigged, then over many rounds, sector 1 should win in about 40.74% of spins, sector 2 in 27.78%, and so on. So let’s take the stats for many spins and check the honesty of the Evolution provider.

MONOPOLY LIVE FAIR CHECK

In our article about the round history of the Monopoly Live game, we explained where to view the round history. In the game’s interface, you can find the record for a few dozen rounds, but a few dozen is not enough for accurate statistics.

So let’s go back to tracksino.com and look at the Monopoly Live statistics for the last month. You can select the time frame in the “Time frame” tab at the top right.

We can see that the actual stats for a large number of spins (more than 40 thousand!) correspond well to the calculated ones. If we take the history of the games over several months, the match is even better.

What does it say? Evolution Gaming is not cheating anyone. If, for example, their money wheel for Monopoly Life were rigged to land more often on number 1, we would see it in the real statistics. The win rate would not be 40.79%, but more.

As we have just seen, one of the clear advantages of live casino games is their transparency. We can look at the real stats and compare them with those declared by the provider. This is why you will not find interactive shows like Monopoly Live or Crazy Time in unlicensed casinos.

SHOULD YOU TRACK THE ROUND HISTORY?

You play in the Monopoly Live game. A live dealer spins the wheel. It stops at the “4 ROLLS” segment. Mr. Monopoly starts the 3D animated bonus round. A double is rolled 4 times. You end up with 8 bonus rolls and celebrate your big win. Mr. Monopoly goes back to the live studio. You look at the virtual megapolis in the background and think about which segments of the wheel to place your chips on.

According to statistics, the “4 ROLLS” sector wins on average once every 54 rounds. It’s unlikely to win twice in a row. To avoid what you consider to be an unjustified risk, you do not place any chips on this segment. The host spins the wheel and … the “4 ROLLS” sector wins again. You have lost part of your deposit and missed your chance.

Consider another situation. You go to a stats-tracking website and look at the history of the Monopoly Live rounds over the last 3 hours. You see that the number 10 has come up well below the expected. Based on this statistics, you decide that it’s worth betting some of your money on this segment.

The above logic is called the gambler’s fallacy. In probability theory, there is the Law of Large Numbers. Let’s try to explain it in simple terms.

Suppose you flip a coin, count the number of heads and compare it with the prediction. In 10 tosses, you got heads 7 times, although you predicted heads 5 times. In 100 tosses, heads came up 65 times and you predicted 50. And so on. So the more tosses you make, the smaller the deviation from the statistical expectation will be. A complete match will only occur with an infinite number of flips.

This pattern can be seen in the statistics of the Monopoly Live show. If we set the time frame to 3 hours, we can see:

Let’s compare this with the stats of Monopoly Live for the month. We can see a more significant deviation from the expected value. This is particularly noticeable for the “CHANCE” sector. There it was 3.82% and here it is 1.65%. Therefore, do not be surprised if you see in the spin history that some segment wins much more or much less often than statistically expected. For example, in the round history below, rolls segments appear much more often than expected.

Is it safe to say that it’s definitely not worth betting on them in the coming rounds? No.

A run of 9 consecutive heads does not mean that tails are statistically more likely to come up next. The probability of tails is always 50% because the coin has no memory. Similarly, the gambling wheel in the Monopoly Live show has no memory. It is therefore completely useless to track the history of the spins. The fact that heads come up about half the time does not allow you to predict the outcome of the next toss.

Calculating the odds will help you win more often at poker or blackjack. In slot machines or live shows such as Monopoly Live, Crazy Time or Dream Catcher, the law of large numbers gives the casino an advantage in the long run. This statistical advantage is often referred to as the house edge.

Yes, you can win a lot at small distances since the laws of statistics fully manifest themselves only with many games. You have probably heard stories about lucky people who made their first deposit at a casino and immediately hit the jackpot.

FAQ – FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

According to the statistics, how often does the “4 ROLLS” sector win in Monopoly Live?

On average, the “4 ROLLS” sector wins once per 54 rounds.

According to the statistics, how often does the “2 ROLLS” sector win in Monopoly Live?

On average, the “2 ROLLS” sector wins once per 18 rounds.

The wheel has stopped on rolls 3 times in the last 10 rounds. Your stats are wrong!

The laws of statistics work with large numbers. You should count how many times the rolls have come up in 10,000 rounds. In the short run, the wheel is unpredictable.

How can I check that the Monopoly Live wheel is not rigged?

Quite simply. Calculate the theoretical probabilities for each sector of the wheel and compare them with the real stats for several thousand rounds. There are services that track the history of all the rounds.

Can I predict future spins from the statistics of past rounds?

Definitely not. The Wheel of Fortune has no memory. The outcome of each round is independent of the previous spins.

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